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Subclass 820/801 Partner Visa - Australia

Status: pre-lodgement preparation. Two migration-agent consultations being scheduled this week (Kinslor Prince Lawyers + D'Ambra Murphy Lawyers). ETA already granted (valid 11 Dec 2026, no 8503). 12-month de facto gate met by relationship duration. Target onshore lodgement late July 2026. Modelled P(refusal) ~2-4%; P(grant within 24 months) ~80%.

...d until flight to Sydney
...d until arrival + ETA activation
...d until target lodgement
...d until lodgement cliff (ETA stay expiry)
...d until baby due

The visa-status flow (one diagram, end to end)

flowchart TD
  Now["Today: ETA granted, in London"] --> Flight["22 Jun: depart LHR on QF2"]
  Flight --> Arrive["24 Jun: arrive Sydney 05:10, ETA activates, 90-day stay starts"]
  Arrive --> Prep["Late Jun-Jul: NSW registration, joint account, evidence pack, 47SP/40SP drafting"]
  Prep --> Lodge{"Late Jul: lodge 820 onshore via ImmiAccount"}
  Lodge -->|valid| BVA["BVA grant on lodgement (work plus Medicare from ETA expiry)"]
  Lodge -->|"invalid (rare)"| Invalid["Re-submit before 23 Sep cliff"]
  Invalid --> Lodge
  BVA --> Baby["Early Oct: baby born, Form 1022 with birth certificate"]
  Baby --> Wait["Department assessment 12-24 months"]
  Wait --> FirstDecision{"First decision"}
  FirstDecision -->|"grant 820"| Period820["820 holder: continue to 801 assessment"]
  FirstDecision -->|"double grant (reg 1.20J)"| PR["PR achieved (2027-2028)"]
  FirstDecision -->|"refusal"| AAT{"AAT merits review"}
  Period820 --> Final801{"801 assessment in ~2028"}
  Final801 -->|"grant"| PR
  Final801 -->|"refusal"| AAT
  AAT -->|"AAT win, sets aside refusal"| PR
  AAT -->|"AAT loss"| Offshore["Restart via 309 offshore plus skilled tracks"]

  classDef now fill:#1f6db8,stroke:#0a3d68,color:#fff
  classDef good fill:#2f8f30,stroke:#1c6320,color:#fff
  classDef warn fill:#c25c00,stroke:#a04500,color:#fff
  classDef bad fill:#c1342c,stroke:#a04500,color:#fff
  class Now,Flight,Arrive,Prep,BVA,Baby,Wait,Period820 now
  class PR good
  class AAT,Invalid warn
  class Offshore bad

The map

Law (statute and regulation)

Forms

Risks (the 12 questions + 5 scenarios)

Timeline

Concepts, evidence, people, modlean

All coming in phases 3-5.

Source of truth

Every page is rendered from markdown files in projects/legal/australia/partner-visa/ in life-core, plus the modlean satellite at ModleanSatAuPartnerVisa.lean. Any verdict you read here (e.g. "12-month gate met") is computed by the model, not written by hand. If a page contradicts the model, the model wins; please flag.